Will Global Trade Recover Anytime Soon?

In a 2015 United Nations Trade and Development Conference  report  “Trade Slowdown” one reads: ‘As of 2014 the trends in international trade were largely driven by the sluggish economic growth and the persisting economic and political turmoil in various part of the world. From 2011 to 2014 world trade grew at a rate of less…

Brexit: the Most Likely Future Scenario

The laws of systemantics apply to highly complex systems and situations. As you read these laws think of the EU and of the recently celebrated Brexit.   Le Chatelier’s Principle: Complex systems tend to oppose their own proper function. As systems grow in complexity, they tend to oppose their stated function. A complex system cannot be…

Who Rates Ratings?

  The economy is a dynamic system which is far too complex for us to understand. Human nature is extremely complex and billions of irrational humans form the economy. How can such a system ever be thought to be efficient, in equilibrium and stable, as many prominent economists have claimed? But this system, like every…

Italy – Pride and Prejudice

  In the current economic situation, of falling stock markets, plummeting oil prices and sustained turbulence, the global investor must know which regions/countries offer better long-term sustainable investment opportunities. In addition to having one of highest resilience ratings in the Euro Area (Italy – 73.1%, versus 70.5% of Germany for example), Italy is the 3rd…