domino_small

Major Stock Markets: Is A Crash Imminent?

Over the past few months stock markets have been registering very positive performance. Some analysts claim the markets are in a bubble condition. Bubbles can emerge from cognitive biases, herd behaviour and involve positive feedback loops which accelerate bubble growth. The S&P, for example, has tripled since its low in 2009. Since the 1990s, the…

ArduinoMega2560_R3_Fronte

Building a “Complexity Management Device”

  Arduino is an open-source electronics platform based on easy-to-use hardware and software. It’s intended for anyone making interactive projects, see TED video. Arduino boards (see list here) come in numerous types and may be connected to a wide variety of inputs (sensors, devices) and outputs (actuators, devices, computers). For example, the Arduino Fio boardis…

Chain reaction

Is a Huge Stock Market Crash Imminent?

Blog written on January 12-th, 2015. In a recent article “Why The Next Stock Market Crash Will Happen Any Day Now”  it is claimed that a massive stock market crash (down by 50%) will happen any day now. Based on past crash patterns it is said that we are on the verge of another huge…

Systemic Risks

Systemic Risk Analysis – A New Approach

In a world dominated by turbulence and interdependency, fragility and complexity are the main new factors which are impacting the global economy and driving financial performance. While the unprecedented challenges affecting the global economy are a source of both opportunities and threats, traditional analytics technology is insufficient when it comes to capturing new drivers of…

Rope-About-To-Break

Complexity Monitoring – A Formidable Early-Warning Tool

Complexity technology establishes a radically innovative means of anticipating crises. Systems under severe stress or on a path to collapse undergo either rapid complexity fluctuations or exhibit a consistent growth of complexity. If complexity is not measured, these precious  crisis precursors will go unnoticed. Conventional methods are unable to identify such precursors. The current planetary…